The red clay of Roland-Garros is heating up, and as we roll into Day 4 of the 2025 French Open, the action promises high drama, raw power, and some matchups that could shape the tournament’s path forward. With title contenders finding their footing and dark horses looking to stir chaos, Day 4 brings us a captivating slate.
Topping the bill is a must-watch second-round showdown: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jil Teichmann, a battle between a top seed with a title in her sights and a crafty lefty with the tools to challenge anyone on clay.
Let’s dive deep into the biggest storylines, spotlight predictions, and explain why French Open Day 4 could be the most thrilling yet.
🎯 Sabalenka vs Teichmann: Power vs Precision in Paris
🎾 The Matchup
Aryna Sabalenka enters this contest on a mission. The World No. 2 is no longer just a hard-court powerhouse—she’s evolved into a complete threat, with her clay-court movement and tactical discipline improving dramatically over the past year. After a commanding first-round performance, she looks locked in.
But Jil Teichmann is no pushover. A dangerous opponent on slower surfaces, the Swiss southpaw is known for her court craft, defensive grit, and the ability to disrupt rhythm. Teichmann has battled injuries and inconsistencies in recent months but remains a wild card capable of deep runs when her body and confidence align.
🔥 What Makes This Match Special?
- Contrast in styles: Sabalenka brings raw firepower and relentless aggression. Teichmann counters with spins, slices, and rally variation.
- Lefty advantage: Teichmann’s serve out wide on the ad court could pose questions for Sabalenka’s return game early on.
- Momentum: Sabalenka’s confidence is peaking post-Madrid and Rome, while Teichmann is searching for rhythm. That gap could either close fast or widen quickly.
🔍 Prediction: Aryna Sabalenka in 2 sets
Expect a few momentum shifts early, especially if Teichmann can extend rallies and keep the Belarusian uncomfortable. But Sabalenka’s recent form suggests she’ll eventually overpower the Swiss and impose her pace. Her serve—once a liability on clay—has become a weapon. Add to that her laser-like focus and improved movement, and this looks like a straight-sets win, possibly 6-4, 6-3.
🧠 Other Day 4 Predictions to Watch
🏆 Ons Jabeur vs Magda Linette
This is a battle between two experienced players who can thrive on clay but bring very different energies to the court. Jabeur’s artistry and shot variety make her dangerous on any surface, while Linette’s grit and timing on the rise can cause headaches for aggressive players.
Prediction: Jabeur in 3 sets
Linette will likely steal a set or keep things tight, but Jabeur’s creativity and variety should wear her down over time.
💥 Holger Rune vs Fabio Fognini
If this match doesn’t explode into chaos, it may be a first. Rune, the volatile Danish phenom, faces Fognini, the Italian veteran known for his flair, fire, and unpredictability. Expect fireworks.
Prediction: Rune in 4
Fognini may still steal a set with a moment of brilliance, but Rune’s physicality and relentless ball-striking should see him through.
🌍 Caroline Garcia vs Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
A match between two players with experience, flair, and inconsistency. Garcia will carry the home-crowd pressure, while Pavlyuchenkova—if fit—has the firepower to pull an upset.
Prediction: Pavlyuchenkova in 3
In a toss-up, Pavlyuchenkova’s ability to flatten out her strokes and redirect pace gives her a slight edge on slower clay. Expect long rallies and emotional swings.
📸 The Social Buzz: Sabalenka is Owning the Moment
Sabalenka’s attitude has captivated fans. Whether it’s her powerful pre-match stare-downs, her emotional on-court screams, or that defiant aura she carries even after dropping a few points—she is a player who turns every match into a statement.
On Day 4, Twitter is already ablaze with fans hailing her “Queen of Clay” transformation. Instagram reels show her brutal forehands cracking the red dirt, while TikTok edits of her confident strides onto court rack up hundreds of thousands of views.
Her off-court vibe? Still grounded. Still hungry. And never boring.
Sabalenka isn’t just trying to win Roland-Garros—she’s trying to take it by storm.
📊 The Numbers Behind the Predictions
Here’s a quick stat rundown that backs up the forecast for Sabalenka vs Teichmann:
- 1st Serve Points Won: Sabalenka 72% (2025 clay season), Teichmann 64%
- Break Point Conversion: Sabalenka 46%, Teichmann 41%
- Winners/Unforced Ratio: Sabalenka trending at +12, Teichmann around +2
What this shows is Sabalenka’s ability to not only dictate but finish points, even on slower surfaces. Teichmann, while excellent in countering, may find it hard to absorb and redirect enough to win over two full sets.
🧨 Upset Watch: Could Any Top Seeds Fall?
While Sabalenka should handle her match, Day 4 is still ripe for an upset or two:
- Maria Sakkari vs Arantxa Rus – If Sakkari starts slow, Rus has the veteran calm and clay-court savvy to grind her down.
- Cameron Norrie vs Lucas Pouille – The crowd will be firmly behind Pouille. Norrie is solid, but Pouille has nothing to lose.
