Introduction
The 2025 WTA Italian Open has delivered thrilling matches, and the upcoming semifinal between Italy’s Jasmine Paolini and America’s Peyton Stearns promises to be another captivating encounter. Both players have showcased exceptional form, setting the stage for a high-stakes battle on the clay courts of Rome.
Player Profiles

Jasmine Paolini
- Nationality: Italian
- Age: 29
- Current WTA Singles Ranking: No. 5
- Career Highlights:
- Reached finals at the 2024 French Open and Wimbledon
- Winner of the 2024 Dubai Championships (WTA 1000)
- Olympic gold medalist in doubles (2024 Paris Olympics)
- Part of Italy’s Billie Jean King Cup-winning team in 2024
Paolini’s aggressive baseline play, combined with her agility and tactical acumen, has made her a formidable opponent on clay. Her recent performances have solidified her status as one of the top contenders in women’s tennis.
Peyton Stearns
- Nationality: American
- Age: 23
- Current WTA Singles Ranking: No. 42
- Career Highlights:
- Winner of the 2024 Rabat Grand Prix
- Reached the fourth round at the 2023 US Open
- Notable victories over top players, including Madison Keys and Naomi Osaka
Stearns has made significant strides on the WTA Tour, with her powerful groundstrokes and resilience under pressure earning her recognition as a rising star.
Road to the Semifinals
Jasmine Paolini’s Journey:
Paolini has demonstrated consistency and determination throughout the tournament, defeating a series of challenging opponents to reach the semifinals. Her ability to adapt her game plan and maintain composure under pressure has been instrumental in her success.
Peyton Stearns’ Remarkable Run:
Stearns has made history at the Italian Open by becoming the first player in the Open Era to win three consecutive WTA main-draw matches in third-set tiebreaks, overcoming Madison Keys, Naomi Osaka, and Elina Svitolina. Her tenacity and mental fortitude have been key factors in her deep run.
Head-to-Head Analysis
As of now, there is no recorded head-to-head matchup between Paolini and Stearns, making this semifinal encounter their first meeting on the professional circuit. This adds an element of unpredictability to the match, as both players will need to quickly adapt to each other’s playing styles.
Matchup Breakdown
Playing Styles:
- Paolini: Known for her aggressive baseline play, Paolini utilizes heavy topspin and precise shot placement to control rallies. Her agility allows her to cover the court effectively, making her a challenging opponent on clay surfaces.
- Stearns: Stearns brings a powerful game, with strong serves and flat groundstrokes that can penetrate through the court. Her recent performances indicate a growing confidence and ability to handle high-pressure situations.
Key Factors:
- Experience: Paolini’s extensive experience, including Grand Slam finals and high-pressure matches, may give her an edge in managing the nerves associated with a semifinal appearance.
- Momentum: Stearns’ historic run and recent victories over top players suggest she is playing with confidence and belief in her abilities.
- Surface Suitability: Both players have shown proficiency on clay, but Paolini’s tactical play and movement may be better suited to the slower surface.
Betting Odds and Prediction
Note: The following odds are hypothetical and for illustrative purposes only.
- Jasmine Paolini: -150
- Peyton Stearns: +130

Given Paolini’s experience and consistent performance on clay, she enters the match as the slight favorite. However, Stearns’ recent form and ability to win tight matches cannot be overlooked.
Prediction: Jasmine Paolini to win in three sets.
Conclusion
The semifinal clash between Jasmine Paolini and Peyton Stearns at the 2025 WTA Italian Open is poised to be a thrilling contest. With Paolini’s experience and Stearns’ momentum, fans can expect a high-quality match filled with strategic play and competitive spirit. Regardless of the outcome, this encounter highlights the depth and talent present in women’s tennis today.